Fixed Matches For Today
15 – May – 2021
2 games ticket 95% WIN RATE
Silkeborg – Koge: 1 Odd:1.30 FT: 4:1
Schalke – Eintracht Frankfurt: 2 Odd:1.30 FT: 4:3
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Fixed Matches For Today
The final betting system that’s worth looking at is the Kelly Criterion. Used by professional punters around the world, this system has shown itself to be the most effective and most efficient system for football bettors. In fact, in comparison to the other methods listed in this article, the Kelly Criterion is by far the most useful for gamblers of all persuasions.
Essentially, the Kelly Criterion is a money management betting system that sets out the perfect bet size based on the value offered. Essentially, money management is all about optimising the potential for winning at the expense of excess risk and the Kelly Criterion aims to find the optimum amount of your bankroll you should wager on a bet in order to meet these conditions.
The basic Kelly Criterion formula runs as follows: (bankroll) BR% = (P*B) – 1 / odds – 1, where we let P be the probability of us winning (in decimal format), B the odds offered and BR% is the percent of the bankroll we should stake according to the Kelly Criterion.
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After applying this formula to your data you get a positive number for BR% that shows you how much of your bankroll to wager. If the number is negative, it simply means: Don’t bet.
For example, if we are offered 1.91 (10/11 in fractional odds) that Arsenal will beat Tottenham and you estimate that Arsenal have a 55% chance of winning, then the Kelly Criterion would suggest the following: BR% = (0.55*1.91) – 1 / (1.91 – 1). Plugging these numbers into the formula suggests that it’s optimal to bet 5.5495% of your bankroll on this bet.
Although you can run into problems using this system if your ability to estimate a team’s chances of winning are off, the system is almost bulletproof in terms of its theory and application in the football betting world and one you should use if you want to win more and lose less.
Fixed Matches For Today